12:30 NEWCASTLE Novice Hurdle (Class F) (4yo+) 2m G/Sft (Sft places) ->Time Out
1:30 NEWCASTLE Handicap Chase (Class B) (4yo+) 3m G/Sft (Sft places) ->Poker De Sivola
2:05 NEWCASTLE Novice Handicap Hurdle (Class F) (4yo+) 2m4f G/Sft (Sft places) -> Locked Inthepocket
3:15 DONCASTER Handicap (Class B) (3yo+) 6f Soft (G/Sft places) -> Mehdi
3:50 DONCASTER Handicap (Class D) (3yo+) 1m6f132y Soft (G/Sft places) -> The Betchworth Kid
1:50 NEWBURY Maiden Stakes (Class D) (2yo) 6f110y Soft (Hvy places) -> Carry On Sydney
2:20 NEWBURY Maiden Stakes (Class D) (2yo) 6f110y Soft (Hvy places) -> Sea Shanty
2:50 NEWBURY Maiden Stakes (Class E) (2yo) 1m Soft (Hvy places) -> World Record
3:40 FAKENHAM Handicap Chase (Class D) (4yo+) 3m110y G/Sft (Gd places) -> Helpston
4:50 FAKENHAM Handicap Chase (Class G) (4yo+) 2m5f110y G/Sft (Gd places)
Farewellatmidnight
Friday, 26 October 2012
Tuesday, 20 March 2012
The Top Horse Racecouses in The UK That Attract The Classiest Runners
By Paul John Coleman
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Here is a list of tracks where a previous course win would be a big advantage in the UK because of the unique characteristics of the course.
Ascot, Carlisle, Chester Epsom, Newcastle, Beverly Catterick, Goodwood, Newmarket, Brighton, Pontefract and Lingfield for flat racing.
Ascot, Fakenham, Kelso, Newcastle, Carlisle, Fontwell. Leicester, Plumpton, Catterick, Haydock, Lingfield, Sandown, Cheltenham, Aintree, Towcester for National Hunt racing.
Most trainers will run their horses within a certain class according to the horse's ability. If a horse shows very good form the trainer may up it in class to a better grade of venue. Most of the top grade racing with the biggest prize money is run at eight courses. These are Ascot, Epsom, York, Newmarket, Goodwood,
Doncaster, Sandown, and Newbury. Obviously a horse moving up from a low-grade track to one of these top venues would have to be out of the ordinary to win a race there.
Monday, 19 March 2012
Older Horse Stakes
By Navshin Chatur
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The one-turn, one-mile drew a field of only six, but it is a deep field. Of the six there are three graded stakes winners including a Grade 1 belonging to Jackson Bend, who is not even the favorite.
Instead, favoritism landed with Mucho Macho Man, who will be cutting back a furlong in distance after winning the Sunshine Millions classic in his last start. Prior to that, MMM won a mile race at Aqueduct.
As a three-year-old Mucho Macho Man was one of the top prospects in the country. He won the Grade 2 Risen Star at Fair Grounds then was third in the Kentucky Derby, sixth in the Preakness and seventh in the Belmont.
It will be interesting to see if jockey Ramon Dominguez hooks up with Tackleberry, who drew to his outside. Tackleberry was a beast at Gulfstream Park winning three of four including this race. He is likely to be on the front-end when the gates open for jockey Rajiv Maragh, who rode MMM in four starts before being taken off in the Belmont.
Saturday, 17 March 2012
Happy St.Patrick's Day - E/W picks
1:35 » Down Royal (IRE)371/3- Touchthewood
3:15 » Down Royal (IRE)P21/ Dices Loaded
3:50 » Down Royal (IRE)4-3F12 Yes Tom
4:20 » Down Royal (IRE)0-U424 The Shepherd
4:55 » Down Royal (IRE)023 Six Stone Ned
2:55 » Wexford (IRE)8-3 Mctaggart
3:30 » Wexford (IRE)P2117 Isobella Blue
4:00 » Wexford (IRE)P33U30 Wilde Wit Pleasure
4:30 » Wexford (IRE)P-13PF The Fonze
Friday, 16 March 2012
Cheltenham Festival 2012
By Jason Millward
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Cheltenham's official title is the National Hunt Meeting, going all the way back to 1860 when the National Hunt Chase was held at Market Harborough. The Betfred Gold Cup is the undoubted jewel in Cheltenham's crown and was first established in 1924. For the vast majority of its history Cheltenham has been a three-day long festival, however all this changed in 2005 with the introduction of a fourth day; meaning there would be one championship race on each day, with the Gold Cup taking place on the final day of the event.
The Cheltenham Gold Cup is the jewel in the crown of the Cheltenham Festival and is one of the most anticipated races of the National Hunt season as it showcases the best race horses that Britain and Ireland have to offer. It is run over the new course at Cheltenham over a distance of about 3miles and 2.5 furlongs, and with 22 fences to be jumped it's a fantastic spectacle.
With this being such a prestigious event in the racing calendar there will be an estimated �25million spent on betting for the event. With no shortage of free bet offers from some of the world's leading bookmakers Free Bets Online brings you a handy guide to Cheltenham Gold Cup Free Bets to help you make the right choice.
Thursday, 15 March 2012
The Implications of the Size of Fields to Betting
By Himanshu Joshi
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One of the recent findings by Jockey Clubs revolved around the size of field and betting done by the racing enthusiasts. The findings that were relayed through the horse racing news channels have generated interest in the betting circles especially during major events. Among the areas highlighted during the research, the size of the field stood out very well. Observations made included the fact that the sizes of the fields have gone down. The fields are much smaller today than they were only a few decades ago. Horse racing news reporters have also taken interest in the research findings. They have reported that whenever a new horse is taken up in a racing field, the value of the average handle improves by at least $100000.
Wednesday, 14 March 2012
Horse Racing Systems and Betting Angles to Find Winners
By Paul John Coleman
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Many use a mix of different strategies to find value bets. To become good at picking horses requires years of study but you can make the process easier by using horse racing methods or systems for picking winners.
Many punters have asked me if horse racing computer software works. I tend to find that using software does not take into account things such as the changing going conditions or a trainer suddenly going through a bad patch. Most computer software is based on the current form of a horse so it may be worth trying in the higher class non-handicap races or group races. Some online racing websites even have a race simulator based on data from past performances to see what the most expected results of the race are.
There is no simple method that will make you a fortune overnight but there are some systems that will allow you to beat the bookmakers on a regular enough basis to make a long-term profit from the game.
Some angles that systems are based around are looking at horses that have been heavily backed from their early morning price. I look for a horse has halved in price from say 10/1 into 5/1. Price movements at the bigger festivals are worth an extra look.
Tuesday, 13 March 2012
Top Tips for Horse Racing
By Himanshu Joshi
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Being the biggest medium of information distribution, internet has helped in making people aware more and more about racing and its ways. This sudden influx of awareness with regards to racing as a sport has ignited the interest of everyone from general public to the high-strung elite of the society. People can now access any and every information about horse races. Several websites dedicated to horse racing news, information, schedules and much more have come up in the past few years. The increasing popularity of races has given rise to several supplementary industries as well, such as breeding, betting and many others. As per the horsing racing news doing the rounds, the racing industry is also acting as a major employer and stemming several employment opportunities too. So if you are looking to participate in an upcoming race, here are some essential tips to help you ride your way to the top-
Monday, 12 March 2012
How to Pick a Winner at the 2012 Cheltenham Festival
By Damian Carvill
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So with so much to consider, how do you pick the winning horse? By the time you've finished reading this guide, you will be better placed to identify a horse that may win you the race.
Understand the Odds
Alongside the Grand National and Ascot, the Cheltenham Gold Cup attracts a huge amount of interest and bets from fans and non-fans of horse racing. However many see the process of betting, with varying odds and different stake options, to be too complicated and daunting to pursue. Understanding the odds and how to place a bet is the first step on the road to picking a winner and netting a tidy sum of money.
Regardless of what John McCririck might suggest, sporting odds are actually quite easy to understand. The two different numbers that you will see next to a horse's name relate to how probable that horse is to win that race. The shorter the odds, or the lower the numbers, the greater its chance of winning. These numbers are separated by a slash and referred to as being one number to another, for example 10/1 or ten to one.
When a horse is favourite to win a race, or odds on, a bookmaker regards its chances of winning the race as better than 50%. This is when you see larger numbers as the second number in the horse's odds, like 1/2.
How much will I win?
So let's say you have �10 to bet, how much will that win you, should your horse come home first? Again, this is quite easy to calculate. If, when you place your �10 bet, the horse's odds are 5-1, you will win �10 X 5, plus your original stake back to make a total of �60.
If your horse is described as evens, that means the bookmaker believes your horse has a 50:50 chance of winning the race, or 1/1. So with your �10, you will win �10 X 1 plus your original �10 stake to make a total of �20.
Sometimes you may see odds that don't end in a one, like 7/2. As odds are written as fractions, they don't include numbers with a decimal point. Therefore, 7/2 is actually 3.5 to 1.
When your horse is odds on, say 1/4, your �10 bet will win, as normal, your �10 back plus 10 X 0.25 (or a quarter of the evens odds), which is �2.50. Therefore you will take away �12.50 in total.
To win or each way?
When you place your bet you have the opportunity to bet on the horse to win outright or to finish in the top three, or 'each way'. The examples given above are all based on your horse winning and you betting on it to win outright. If you decided to hedge your bet and go each way, you are actually placing two bets, one on the horse to win and another, equal sized bet, to finish second or third (and in some cases, but not at Cheltenham, fourth). Therefore, if you had �10 to bet, you would bet �5 each way, making a total of �10, spread across the two bets.
Your first bet at �5, on the horse to win, would pay out as above. Therefore on a horse backed at 5-1, you would win your stake back plus 5x5, to total �30. The second part of the bet is a little more complicated and depends on the number of horses in the race.
If there are 16 horses running, the bookmaker will pay out up until the fourth horse. If your horse finishes fourth, you will receive one quarter of the odds plus your stake back. For races with 12-15 horses, this goes up to third with third place getting one quarter of the odds too. For 8-11 runners, a bookmaker will pay out to third place with that horse receiving one fifth of the odds. When there is 5-7 horses in a race, you will only get a pay out if your horse wins or comes second, with the second placed horse getting one quarter of the odds.
Sunday, 11 March 2012
Sunday E/W picks
3:05 - Warwick--------221-8-----Bill The Lad
4:05 - Warwick--------3-4P72----Toby Belch
3:50 - Market Rasen---21-3PP----Pickwor
3:15 - Naas (IRE)-----0-3113----Black Benny
Friday, 9 March 2012
Horse Racing Handicapping Secrets To Finding Winners
By Paul John Coleman
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A big priced winner going in could be something as simple as liking the heavy going or it hits form at a particular time of the year.
It amazes me how many gamblers do not take track conditions into consideration as this a massive factor.
Check horses previous results to see if it can handle the days going conditions.
Another area to watch for that finds plenty of winners are horses dropping down in class. Horses that drop down in class of three four grades are a big threat.
Good recent form is one of the main things I tend to look for in picking a winning horse. If a horse has not had a run within say 30 to 40 days I would be very wary of backing it.
Try to understand which horses running styles are suited for which types of races. Sprint races over five and six furlongs suit early speed horses.
Here is a check list for determining if a horse has winning credentials and whether to play or pass.
Determine which horse are the true contenders. If you cannot whittle the field down to two or three contenders then leave the race alone. It is probably too competitive.
Thursday, 8 March 2012
Are You a Beginner? Stick to Small Horse Racing Fields
By Himanshu Joshi
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One of the key aspects in betting during horse races is the field size. If you are entirely a novice, chances are that you are not aware of the distinct fields and distinct horses as much. Therefore, it is safe if you stick to small field races. This is because the more the horses in a field, the more the selections, the harder it is to chose a horse to place your bet on. Given you are doing it for monetary or economic reasons, you have to scrutinize to know more about all the horses in a racing field.
Wednesday, 7 March 2012
Trends in Horse Racing Fields and Their Effect on Purses
By Himanshu Joshi
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If you think the decrease of the field sizes is rather insignificant, then you are terribly wrong. It has a direct impact on the handle. Even a single additional horse in a race can make a difference of up to $100,000 in the handle. Over the years, punters have shown immense interest in big field horse races. They regard the bigger fields as long shots as the payoff they get are usually larger than the ones in small field races.
Throughout the years, there has been a remarkable decline in the handle as a consequence of decline in the size of horse racing field. The handle, in turn, has an enormous, direct impact on the purses. The purses have extremely decreased in the last six decades. This has discouraged many horsemen from thorough breeding. They no longer see it as a lucrative business that it was before. However, as much as the overall purses have reduced, the average purse per horse has increased by 26.8% in the last decades. This is mainly because the field sizes are declining; hence the purses are shared by a small number of horses. In the past, the purses were distributed among so many horses due to the big fields and as such, the average purse per horse was not a big amount.
Tuesday, 6 March 2012
Horse Racing - Field Size and Betting
By Himanshu Joshi
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This is significant because the handle directly affects the purses in that, the purses increase with elevating handle. The purses have a direct connection to the urge of horse owners to breed more horses. Larger purses incur more thorough breeding. Consequently, more horses are bred hence a reflected increase in number of the field size. This is, therefore, a huge circle that is particularly vital to the horse racing industry. This is the circle within which betting is based on. For most people, betting is what makes this equestrian sport worthwhile. It simply wouldn't be fun without betting. It has been proven, especially in Triple Crown and Breeder's cup races, that the larger the field size, the more the betting. The more spread out the field is, the higher the chances that people will bet on some of the extra horses to make profits, which many end up losing.
Monday, 5 March 2012
Horse Racing Predictor - Forecast Results
By Himanshu Joshi
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At first, many enthusiastic bettors were pessimistic about the idea of using prediction software. However, the distinct prediction software in the market today are gaining acceptance, as more bettors learn to utilize it to predict any future race. Isn't it high time that you stopped losing your money, and on the contrary start making some serious money? The predictors on the horse betting industry are extensive, some being more reliable and efficient than others. They assist you in the decision of where to place your bet and consequently win. A lot of professionals in the horse racing field use this software to generate vast amounts of money, which you always give out to them, though indirectly.
Sunday, 4 March 2012
E/W Today Picks
Huntingdon 15:40 ... 331571 ... Dot Or Feather
Thursday, 1 March 2012
Horse Racing Results - General Overview
By Himanshu Joshi
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Although people have tight schedules, sport lovers always have time for horse racing. They will put off all their engagements and appointments to attend a horse race. Like many other sports, this one involves gambling no wonder it is a surprisingly strong magnet for people from all walks of life. Their desire to attend or watch a horse race for the final results is driven by the bets that one placed on a specific horse. In present times, there are many ways to get these results as fast without having to be in the actual race. However, some people still prefer to get the results first hand, at the events. They desire the smell of the track, the pounding hooves of horses and the loud roar of the crowd, and they just don't feel the touch and essence of the sport if they are not physically, personally present at the event.
Wednesday, 29 February 2012
Daily Double Bets and Rolling Doubles For Horse Racing
By Bill Peterson
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The double is about the simplest exotic bet. You pick the winner in the first race, the first half of the double, and then you pick the winner in the second race, or second half. You must have the winner in both halves to collect.
An alternative to playing a daily double is a parlay bet. When you parlay a bet you simply take all your winnings from the first race and place them on a horse in the next race.
Either a double or a parlay can add up quickly. If you wager $2 to win on a horse in the first race and it wins and you collect $12 which you then wager on another horse in a following race, you may multiply your $2 investment many times. For instance, if your choice in the second race of your parlay bet wins and pays $10 to win, you actually collect $60. Not bad for an initial wager of $2. Of course, the downside is that you have to pick two winners in a row.
Tuesday, 28 February 2012
Past Horse Racing Results: Things to Scrutinize
By Himanshu Joshi
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Check keywords
You should check the name of the past race, the type of the race and its restrictions, if it had any. It will also give you a glimpse of what the handicap weight restrictions were and why they were placed.
Compare jockeys
You should already have an idea on distinct jockeys before you look at the results. The results should only make selecting your easier as you look at their wins and losses trends. You should look at the numbers beside each jockey's name for the wins, how many places he won, on what shows and finally, the winning percentage. You should check these results side by side to ensure that you effectively compare all of them.
Tuesday, 21 February 2012
Money Management Tips for Horse Racing Betting
By Bill Peterson
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It's the same in any other form of investing, after all, that's all investing really is, moving money around and putting it where it is most likely to earn a favorable return. So here are a few thoughts on using your bankroll the very best you can. If you've been handicapping the horse races and still losing money, you might want to think about improving your money management rather than trying to learn that next horse racing angle.
First of all, the number one reason that most businesses, including horse racing ventures, fail is being under funded. If you are betting with the rent money or making two dollar bets and hoping to make a living, it just isn't going to work. You must be realistic and understand the kind of money the successful professional handicappers spend in order to eke out a living.
If 10% is a good return for a horse player, how much do you need to wager in the course of a year in order to make $100,000? The answer is $1,000,000. That's a staggering sum for most people, but it's true. Of course, if you only wish to make $10,000 then you need only wager $100,000. For most people that figure is out of reach.
Monday, 20 February 2012
Horse Racing Handicapping Angles for Each Race Track
By Bill Peterson
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There is a lot of information online about each track and many of them post last years top trainers and jockeys at the beginning of a new meet. Of course, for the track publicity department it's a matter of trying to generate interest in the rivalries at the track and also a way to help handicappers to watch certain trainers who may be good at dealing with the peculiarities of that racing venue.
One of the best things that you can do, if you want to cash a lot of winners at the horse races, is to keep notes or save your old racing programs. As I write this there is a book shelf behind me that is crammed full of old racing programs. When a new meet starts I like to look back over last year's programs to see if I can get a handle on how the track played last year and of who the stars were. I also like to note those trainers and jockeys who disappointed.
They say that living by looking over your shoulder is a bad thing to do, but trust me, when it comes to handicapping learning by your past mistakes is crucial to making money betting on horses. On the other hand, be flexible enough to realize that things can change. If a new trend develops, don't miss it.
Sunday, 19 February 2012
Using Horse Racing Trainer Moves the Truth and Fiction for Handicappers
By Bill Peterson
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The only problem with this is that like all past performance information, it is a look at the past, not a glimpse into the future. Though you may be using past performances, what you're actually trying to do is to forecast what will happen today. Call it prognostication or fortune telling, or whatever you like, what you're doing is predicting the future.
The reasoning by many is that by looking at what the trainer did in the past you will be able to tell what he or she is likely to do today and of course, the same is true of the horses. The problem with that line of thought is that you can't predict what the bettors will do and their reluctance to back the conditioners other horses in similar situations is the reason they showed a positive ROI.
Are you starting to see where this is going? If you're sitting there reading that this trainer move has a positive expectancy you can bet your sweet racing form that a thousand other would-be handicappers are doing the same thing and thinking that it's going to be as easy as finding money in the street. Wrong.
Saturday, 18 February 2012
Horse Racing Handicapping With Track Models and Speed
By Bill Peterson
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That means that horses that take the lead or run very close to it in the early stages of the race win an incredible 80% of the time. That is a very strong speed bias. While that much of a speed bias is rare, it does happen. Speed biases in the 60-70% range are much more common. Don't think that all track models favor speed, however, because some also favor Presser (P) type runners or even Sustained (S) types.
Before you begin to handicap it's a good idea to find out what the track model is for the particular type race you're handicapping. Then evaluate each horse and determine its running style and a likely pace scenario in the race. Do not, however, only focus on the horses that fit the most common winning running style, because things don't always go as planned in a horse race.
Horse Racing Tips From the Stable Cat
By Bill Peterson
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Inside information, however, can be dynamite, but you have to know how to get it and when to use it and when to pass it up. That comes down to discretion on your part. I've had a lot of trainers tell me their horse was a cinch to win, only to see it lose. Now when a trainer or owner tells me a horse is a sure thing, I know that the jockey will probably try to win with it, but that it can still be beaten because another trainer may feel the same way about his horse.
The truth of the matter is, thought the human connections may have their own ideas, the animals themselves are the real key to how they will race. The single most important tip you can get on any race is how the money is flowing and for that you have to watch the pools and know what to look for.
The second most important information is on the race track in front of you. I'm talking about the horses themselves. Being able to spot one that is washy or too dry and dull is one of the greatest assets a handicapper can have. Horse racing handicapping isn't just about the figures and past performance lines on paper. The real story, the present, not the past, is out on the track or in the paddock before the race.
Friday, 17 February 2012
Is Horse Racing Handicapping Easier With a Computer
By Bill Peterson
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Those are just a few of the uses of today's modern techno gadgets that really do seem to make life easier. But do those gadgets enable us to handicap a race any better, and if so, are we making more money as handicappers?
In my experience the answer is that while we do have more information at our finger tips, there is still little profit to be made picking winners. It may be possible, but it isn't easy to make a profit betting on horses, and you're hearing that from a man who teaches people how to handicap the races. I make my living from horse racing, but I don't sugar coat it.
While the amount of information that is available has certainly increased, that information is available to any one who seeks it. The trick to making money betting on horse races isn't just to have more information, it is to have more and better information than the other guy or to use your information better than he does.
After all, let's be honest, we're each trying to beat the rest of the crowd when we bet on a race unless we're in a place where book making is legal, in which case we may be trying to beat an odds maker. Whatever the case may be, horse racing handicapping is about beating other people, being better at spotting a value bet, of evaluating the runners.
Thursday, 16 February 2012
Separating Common Sense From Nonsense in Horse Racing Handicapping
By Bill Peterson
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Let's start with one tidbit of information that most horse players know and use when sizing up the runners and trying to find a good bet. "The favorites win about a third of the races."
I like to call this one of those situations where a little knowledge can be a dangerous thing. If you look at all the races at a particular track, you will usually find that about 30%-35% are won by the betting favorite in the race. But for those punters who look at the odds board and spot the horse that has the most money bet on it and think that it has a one out of three chance of winning just because the crowd has made it the favorite, they're operating under false information.
The truth of the matter is that there is a wide disparity between winning favorites depending upon the kind of race in question. Breaking it down and looking more closely at the betting choice in each kind of race at almost any race track will reveal some races where the favorites win more than 50% of the races while in others the favorites win only about 10%.
That is a huge difference and if you're relying on the old saw that favorites win about a third of the time, you're in for a shock. Now let's look even closer at this common knowledge. The odds do make a difference, not just to the actual amount paid out to the winners, but also in predicting the horse's chances of winning the race. The lower the odds, the greater the runner's chances of winning.
Wednesday, 15 February 2012
The Best Horse Races to Handicap and Win Consistently
By Bill Peterson
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Now let's apply that to horse racing handicapping and think about how we can use that insight to succeed at picking enough winning horses to make a profit. I am assuming that's what you want to do. If, on the other hand, you just want to bet for the sake of a thrill and try to charm Lady Luck into paying you a visit, then you really don't need to read this horse racing article.
Each person who reads this article is an individual and I can't tell you how to personally succeed as a handicapper. I wish I could, but I can't and unless someone else knows you very well, he can't tell you how to succeed as a handicapper, either. You have talents and abilities and some knowledge that is specific to your own life experience.
For instance, there are probably race tracks that you are more familiar with than others and also maybe you've picked up knowledge about trainers, jockeys, and maybe even the owners of some of the horses and stables. That is all to your advantage if you can somehow make sense of it all and use it. I teach people how to handicap using the basics and some horse racing angles, but how you put it all together with your own talents is the key to success.
Tuesday, 14 February 2012
Diet Exercise and Horse Racing Handicapping - The Connection
By Bill Peterson
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Horse races are contests. Horse racing handicapping is a contest as well. The person who bets into pari-mutuel pools is competing against all the other people who also bet into the pools. You aren't competing against the race track or horses, you're competing against other people who are doing the same thing you're doing -- trying to make a profit picking winners.
How smart and how well prepared you are will make a big difference, just as it does in any other contest. Professional poker players who play in tournaments know that fatigue plays a big part in finishing well. The players who are able to make good decisions at the end of the tournament are the ones who usually win. Physical fatigue leads to poor judgment and mental errors.
As a handicapper, your best tool is your mind. Physiologist will tell you that cognitive ability declines with poor health. Proper nutrition is a key to a clear well functioning mind. Exercise leads to better blood flow and almost everyone knows how important it is for your brain to get oxygen rich blood in order to function properly.
Just because you sit down to handicap a horse race, it doesn't mean that physical strength and stamina aren't necessary. Think of other contests and sports where the participants sit down and you'll see what I mean. NASCAR drivers sit down and drive a car. It certainly doesn't take much strength to turn a steering wheel, does it?
Monday, 13 February 2012
How to Tell a Good Horse Racing System From a Bad One
By D J Bromley
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One rule of thumb that I tend to use is that the more they promise the less they are likely to give. We have all seen systems advertised that promise many thousands of pounds profit in a few days or weeks. These types of system are not for real punters, they are for the dreamers and those misguided people who still believe you can get something for nothing.
The first factor to look at is to look and see who is actually offering the system. Are they a well known "name" or somebody you have never heard of? In either case it is worth typing their name into your search engine and see if there are any comments, good or bad, about them on the web. One point to be careful is to make sure that those who are praising the person are not also trying to sell one of his systems on commission as an affiliate. There are some very good horse racing review sites on the Internet and it can be worth checking out any system you are thinking of buying with these.
Sunday, 12 February 2012
Horse Racing Handicapping Tip - How to Eliminate Horses From the Race
By Bill Peterson
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As you handicap a horse race you try to put the horses in order from most likely winner to least likely winner. Then, if you really want to make a profit betting on horses, you wait and watch the odds and decide which runner offers the best value. Horse players must not only be good judges of horses, but they must also be good at picking the best bets.
In most races the top 4 horses in the odds, whether it be morning line odds or the odds you see on the tote board at five minutes to post, will include the winner of the race. If you want to save time you'll simply evaluate the top four or five morning line horses and set your own odds then bet them according to what the tote board tells you. Of course, there is always a price to be paid for convenience and speed. You may miss a good long shot bet among the other runners.
Therefore, I recommend that you go the extra distance and look closely at every horse in the race. If you don't have time to handicap all the races, then pick the most promising ones, according to how well you do in different types of races and handicap them first. When you handicap, here is what to look for when throwing out those horses who don't really stand a chance.
Par times are the actual times that horses average when winning at the distance and class. Par speeds are the same. Having a list of par times and speeds will help you to spot horses that have run at the par or higher before. Any horse that has done that should be considered. Any horse that hasn't is on the suspect list. In maiden races or races for horses who are working their way up through non-winner conditions, it is possible that the horse will improve and set a new lifetime par.
In races for older horses, however, those who have never done what is being asked today will probably not be able to win and may be put on the elimination list. Of those who may succeed by improving because they are young and growing, an upward trend in speed and ability should be present, otherwise, eliminate the horse. This is just one of several ways to eliminate horses from your list of contenders.
If you want to learn how a horse owner and insider handicaps just go to http://williewins.homestead.com/true.html and get the truth about betting on horses and winning. Bill Peterson is a former race horse owner and professional handicapper. To see all Bill's horse racing material go to Horse Racing Handicapping, Bill's handicapping store.
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Saturday, 11 February 2012
How to Tell a Good Horse Racing System From a Bad One
By D J Bromley
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One rule of thumb that I tend to use is that the more they promise the less they are likely to give. We have all seen systems advertised that promise many thousands of pounds profit in a few days or weeks. These types of system are not for real punters, they are for the dreamers and those misguided people who still believe you can get something for nothing.
The first factor to look at is to look and see who is actually offering the system. Are they a well known "name" or somebody you have never heard of? In either case it is worth typing their name into your search engine and see if there are any comments, good or bad, about them on the web. One point to be careful is to make sure that those who are praising the person are not also trying to sell one of his systems on commission as an affiliate. There are some very good horse racing review sites on the Internet and it can be worth checking out any system you are thinking of buying with these.
Friday, 10 February 2012
Horse Racing Passion: The Queen Mother's Love for Racehorses
By Ruth Williams
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This love for racing horses was ignited at the 1949 when Lord Mildmay of Flete and trainer Major Peter Cazalet visited Windsor Castle. The two friends convinced the Queen Mother to buy a horse so that Cazalet could train it. This horse went on to win a series of races, including the Queen Elizabeth Chase later that year.
She presented the trophy herself and was allowed to take it home with her as a token of Monaveen's esteem.
The Queen Mother was extremely successful in the years that followed. In 1950 Monicou won the King George VI Chase under her banner at Kempton Park. After Cazalet's death in the late 1970s, Fluke Walwyn went on to take over training of the horses in the Queen's stable.
The Queen Mother is revered among horse racing enthusiasts for her expertise at picking winning horses. Among her most successful acquisitions was Double Star, which scored several notable victories. Perhaps her most success horse of all was Game Spirit. During its long career, this noble horse scored an impressive total of 21 wins.
Thursday, 9 February 2012
How To Beat Systems Horse Racing Scams
by Race Advisor
Many punters use one system or the other for horse race betting. Many of these systems can be found for sale online, all with glamorous sales pitches with zero to millions promises. How many times have you checked your emails and seen mails with subjects like these?
"Free XYZ system that made $297,569 in one year"
"How ABC system turned former truck driver to instant millionaire?"
Money is something that every human being wants to have in abundance, and the allure of making money without having to work too much for it is what these systems horse racing scammers have used to ensnare people like betting flies to the scammers' naked flames.
Perhaps you may have bought and used many of these betting systems. I have, and I can tell you that many of these systems are bloodsuckers. They suck all your money, and give nothing in return but tears. If you are like me (and I am sure there are tens of thousands the world over with similar experiences), you would have found out that many of these systems are nothing but elaborate scams.
The funny thing is that these systems horse racing scams are thriving, largely due to the fact that more and more otherwise rational men and women cannot resist these salacious headlines and continue to dole out money in the quest for horse race betting's Golden Fleece.
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Money is something that every human being wants to have in abundance, and the allure of making money without having to work too much for it is what these systems horse racing scammers have used to ensnare people like betting flies to the scammers' naked flames.
Perhaps you may have bought and used many of these betting systems. I have, and I can tell you that many of these systems are bloodsuckers. They suck all your money, and give nothing in return but tears. If you are like me (and I am sure there are tens of thousands the world over with similar experiences), you would have found out that many of these systems are nothing but elaborate scams.
The funny thing is that these systems horse racing scams are thriving, largely due to the fact that more and more otherwise rational men and women cannot resist these salacious headlines and continue to dole out money in the quest for horse race betting's Golden Fleece.
Wednesday, 8 February 2012
Horse Racing Positions Affect the Outcome of a Race
By Bill Peterson
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The old saying, "pace makes the race," is often true. However, pace and speed and position are not all the same. Let's say you have a horse with the top speed point rating of 8. That means the horse is a front runner and will try very hard to got to the front and stay ahead of all the other horses. The horse doesn't want to see another horse ahead of it.
The only problem is that while this one wants to lead, its best time in a quarter mile, the first fraction of the race, is only 24 seconds. There are other horses in the race with early speed who can run the quarter in 23. Now what happens to that front running horse? It will often wear itself out trying to get to the top and then fade in the later stages of the race unless the jockey can slow it down, getting it to "settle," as it is called. Front runners with speed points of 8 rarely want to settle for less than the front, however.
Tuesday, 7 February 2012
Easy Winners in Horse Races Start With Handicapping Models
By Bill Peterson
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What that means is that the odds reflect the actual chances of a horse winning if you figure in the amount of money taken out of the pools for the track and the state. It's kind of depressing when you think about it because it makes it almost impossible to make a profit. Almost, that is. There are times when a horse will be bet down below its fair value odds and when that happens, another horse must be at profitable odds for the savvy handicapper.
These are the conditions that exist. In most races, little if any chance of profit and no clear cut great bets, but as I said, in most races, but not all races. There are still times when one horse will have an undeniable advantage over the other horses that stands out so clearly that it makes it an easy choice and an easy winner, if it runs true to form, that is.
I'm not talking about a horse with a speed advantage or more class than the other runners, though that helps. I'm talking about a horse that fits the race model while the rest do not. The race model is the running style that wins that particular kind and distance of race at that track. It is a style and the beaten lengths from the leader at the first and second calls that tells the tale.
Monday, 6 February 2012
Good Horse Racing Systems Have One Factor in Common
By Bill Peterson
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Trainers who are successful at getting their horses in condition and winning with them have a systematic way of conditioning the horses and then entering them to win. The horses themselves have a systematic way of running.
Some win by being front runners and others by coming from off the pace. Then there are those who come from far back and close with a rush, but the one thing they all have in common is that they use their own method over and over again.
The same can be said for people who bet on the horses. The really successful people who wager on horse races must work very hard and then there are no guarantees. It is one of the most difficult ways to make money, and yet a few rare souls actually do just that. Do you think that each time they win it is in a different way or that each one has found a method that works for him or her?
Sunday, 5 February 2012
When Horse Racing Handicapping You Should Know the Percentage of Winning Favorites
By Bill Peterson
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The truth is that there are many different kinds of horse races over different surfaces and at a wide range of distances. The percentage of winning favorites, based on those factors, may be as low as a mere 10% to as high as 70%. While the average is somewhere in the middle and probably around a third, it still leaves a lot of room for adjustment and that is exactly what the smart handicapper needs to do.
You need to adjust your methods of evaluating horses and betting on horses in order to take advantage of the public's ability or lack of ability to pick winners. Certainly all the people who represent the public bettors don't bet on the same horse, but the largest percentage of their betting funds will be invested in the favorite.
At the time of the writing of this article, in 6 furlong races at the 25,000 claiming level for 3 year olds at Aqueduct over the inner track, just 10% of favorites have won those races. A full 80% of the winners have been at or below 5-1, however, which shows that second and third favorites have done very well. What does that tell the smart handicapper?
Saturday, 4 February 2012
The Key Horse is Still the Secret to Any Good Horse Racing System
By Bill Peterson
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For instance, once you have identified the contenders in the race, the next step is to arrive at an idea of how likely each one is to win. You may think horse A. has a 30% chance, horse B. a $25% chance and horse C. a $20% chance. The next step is to turn those percentages into dollar amounts, or pounds, or euros, or whatever the currency is that you are using to make your wagers.
Horse A. would need a payoff of approximately 5-2 to break even or to show a slight profit. Horse B. would require a payoff of at least 3-1 to break even and horse C. would need a payoff of 4-1. If you can't find the right odds in the win pools to make any one of them a good bet, the next place to look, obviously, is the exotic pools.
Friday, 3 February 2012
Taking Money From Dummies at the Racetrack
By Dave C Williams
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What they are really doing is pooling all of the money that has been bet on a race, and then handing it out to the winners when the race is over. They take a cut (usually around 19% of the total) but they have no interest in who wins or loses the race. They make their money no matter who wins. When you win a race, your winnings come from the players who made losing bets. When you lose your money is divided up among the winners.
Smart guys win, dumb guys lose.
Make a visit to your local racetrack one weekend and take a look around at the people who are there. The racetrack is a microcosm of society. You will see very wealthy horse owners in the paddock with their horses, average middle class people enjoying an afternoon outdoors, and more than a few people who look like they don't know where their next meal is coming from. All of them are players in this game and it is your goal to take their money.
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