Saturday, 11 February 2012

How to Tell a Good Horse Racing System From a Bad One

How to Tell a Good Horse Racing System From a Bad One
By D J Bromley

image: depositphotos
Horse racing systems come in all shapes and sizes. You only have to enter the phrase "horse racing systems" into your web browser and it will come up with millions of matches. The problem is how you discover which offer a real chance of helping you make money from your betting and those which are only designed to make the promoter wealthy.

One rule of thumb that I tend to use is that the more they promise the less they are likely to give. We have all seen systems advertised that promise many thousands of pounds profit in a few days or weeks. These types of system are not for real punters, they are for the dreamers and those misguided people who still believe you can get something for nothing.

The first factor to look at is to look and see who is actually offering the system. Are they a well known "name" or somebody you have never heard of? In either case it is worth typing their name into your search engine and see if there are any comments, good or bad, about them on the web. One point to be careful is to make sure that those who are praising the person are not also trying to sell one of his systems on commission as an affiliate. There are some very good horse racing review sites on the Internet and it can be worth checking out any system you are thinking of buying with these.


Friday, 10 February 2012

Horse Racing Passion: The Queen Mother's Love for Racehorses

Horse Racing Passion: The Queen Mother's Love for Racehorses
By Ruth Williams

image: depositphotos
The Queen Mother is famous for her passion for horse racing. In her long history of backing horses she has had 449 winners, who all raced in her personal gold and blue colours. Her first victory was back in 1949, when Monaveen won a race at Fontwell. This earned her the distinction of being the first English Queen to win a British horse race since Queen Anne's triumph in 1714.

This love for racing horses was ignited at the 1949 when Lord Mildmay of Flete and trainer Major Peter Cazalet visited Windsor Castle. The two friends convinced the Queen Mother to buy a horse so that Cazalet could train it. This horse went on to win a series of races, including the Queen Elizabeth Chase later that year.
She presented the trophy herself and was allowed to take it home with her as a token of Monaveen's esteem.

The Queen Mother was extremely successful in the years that followed. In 1950 Monicou won the King George VI Chase under her banner at Kempton Park. After Cazalet's death in the late 1970s, Fluke Walwyn went on to take over training of the horses in the Queen's stable.

The Queen Mother is revered among horse racing enthusiasts for her expertise at picking winning horses. Among her most successful acquisitions was Double Star, which scored several notable victories. Perhaps her most success horse of all was Game Spirit. During its long career, this noble horse scored an impressive total of 21 wins.


Thursday, 9 February 2012

How To Beat Systems Horse Racing Scams

 by Race Advisor

image: depositphotos
Many punters use one system or the other for horse race betting. Many of these systems can be found for sale online, all with glamorous sales pitches with zero to millions promises. How many times have you checked your emails and seen mails with subjects like these?





"Free XYZ system that made $297,569 in one year"







"How ABC system turned former truck driver to instant millionaire?"


Money is something that every human being wants to have in abundance, and the allure of making money without having to work too much for it is what these systems horse racing scammers have used to ensnare people like betting flies to the scammers' naked flames.
Perhaps you may have bought and used many of these betting systems. I have, and I can tell you that many of these systems are bloodsuckers. They suck all your money, and give nothing in return but tears. If you are like me (and I am sure there are tens of thousands the world over with similar experiences), you would have found out that many of these systems are nothing but elaborate scams.


The funny thing is that these systems horse racing scams are thriving, largely due to the fact that more and more otherwise rational men and women cannot resist these salacious headlines and continue to dole out money in the quest for horse race betting's Golden Fleece.



Wednesday, 8 February 2012

Horse Racing Positions Affect the Outcome of a Race

Horse Racing Positions Affect the Outcome of a Race
By Bill Peterson

image: depositphotos
Speed points are often used to determine where a horse will run or try to position itself during the early stages of a race. Speed points were the brainchild of a handicapper named Quirin who developed a simple but very useful method for determining where horses run during the early part of a race. If you've been handicapping for a while you probably know about speed points and also that early speed is critical, even in long races.

The old saying, "pace makes the race," is often true. However, pace and speed and position are not all the same. Let's say you have a horse with the top speed point rating of 8. That means the horse is a front runner and will try very hard to got to the front and stay ahead of all the other horses. The horse doesn't want to see another horse ahead of it.

The only problem is that while this one wants to lead, its best time in a quarter mile, the first fraction of the race, is only 24 seconds. There are other horses in the race with early speed who can run the quarter in 23. Now what happens to that front running horse? It will often wear itself out trying to get to the top and then fade in the later stages of the race unless the jockey can slow it down, getting it to "settle," as it is called. Front runners with speed points of 8 rarely want to settle for less than the front, however.


Tuesday, 7 February 2012

Easy Winners in Horse Races Start With Handicapping Models

Easy Winners in Horse Races Start With Handicapping Models
By Bill Peterson

image: depositphotos
Most horse races are very difficult to handicap, despite what some wise guys may tell you. While it is true that almost every race has one horse that is bet down to low odds and is therefore the favorite, it doesn't mean that one is a sure winner. No matter which horse you look at in a race, you will usually find it is at about the right odds when you figure in the take out and other factors.

What that means is that the odds reflect the actual chances of a horse winning if you figure in the amount of money taken out of the pools for the track and the state. It's kind of depressing when you think about it because it makes it almost impossible to make a profit. Almost, that is. There are times when a horse will be bet down below its fair value odds and when that happens, another horse must be at profitable odds for the savvy handicapper.

These are the conditions that exist. In most races, little if any chance of profit and no clear cut great bets, but as I said, in most races, but not all races. There are still times when one horse will have an undeniable advantage over the other horses that stands out so clearly that it makes it an easy choice and an easy winner, if it runs true to form, that is.

I'm not talking about a horse with a speed advantage or more class than the other runners, though that helps. I'm talking about a horse that fits the race model while the rest do not. The race model is the running style that wins that particular kind and distance of race at that track. It is a style and the beaten lengths from the leader at the first and second calls that tells the tale.


Monday, 6 February 2012

Good Horse Racing Systems Have One Factor in Common

Good Horse Racing Systems Have One Factor in Common
By Bill Peterson

image: depositphotos
In order to be successful at almost anything in life it is necessary to have a systematic method or way of doing things. There are rare exceptions to this rule, but the more repetitious the endeavor, the more likely it is that the successful people have found a system that works and they use it over and over again. Horse racing is a good example.

Trainers who are successful at getting their horses in condition and winning with them have a systematic way of conditioning the horses and then entering them to win. The horses themselves have a systematic way of running.

Some win by being front runners and others by coming from off the pace. Then there are those who come from far back and close with a rush, but the one thing they all have in common is that they use their own method over and over again.

The same can be said for people who bet on the horses. The really successful people who wager on horse races must work very hard and then there are no guarantees. It is one of the most difficult ways to make money, and yet a few rare souls actually do just that. Do you think that each time they win it is in a different way or that each one has found a method that works for him or her?


Sunday, 5 February 2012

When Horse Racing Handicapping You Should Know the Percentage of Winning Favorites

When Horse Racing Handicapping You Should Know the Percentage of Winning Favorites
By Bill Peterson

image: depositphotos
Most people believe that the favorite wins a horse race about a third of the time. While many think that is common knowledge and use it to handicap horse races, it is such a broad statement that it often bears little truth. How can that be? You may ask.

The truth is that there are many different kinds of horse races over different surfaces and at a wide range of distances. The percentage of winning favorites, based on those factors, may be as low as a mere 10% to as high as 70%. While the average is somewhere in the middle and probably around a third, it still leaves a lot of room for adjustment and that is exactly what the smart handicapper needs to do.

You need to adjust your methods of evaluating horses and betting on horses in order to take advantage of the public's ability or lack of ability to pick winners. Certainly all the people who represent the public bettors don't bet on the same horse, but the largest percentage of their betting funds will be invested in the favorite.

At the time of the writing of this article, in 6 furlong races at the 25,000 claiming level for 3 year olds at Aqueduct over the inner track, just 10% of favorites have won those races. A full 80% of the winners have been at or below 5-1, however, which shows that second and third favorites have done very well. What does that tell the smart handicapper?



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